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About

Coming soon.

What I’m working on now

  • Alaska 2027 draw: coming soon.
  • New Mexico 2027 draw: January 2027.
  • Alaska scorecard: my forecasts compared with the actual draw, after results post in February 2027.

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Data and licenses

Each state’s odds will be downloadable as a CSV, licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0: you may share and adapt them for noncommercial purposes, with credit to Scientific Draw Odds. Everything else on this site is © Conor McKinley, all rights reserved. For commercial use of anything here, email contact@scientificdrawodds.com. Sources are the agencies’ own publications, cited in each state’s methodology. Predictions are frozen before each deadline and compared with the real draw afterward.

Disclaimer

Scientific Draw Odds is not affiliated with any state wildlife agency. Odds are estimates built from public data and can be wrong. Permit counts, seasons and eligibility rules change; confirm them with the agency before you apply.